The UFEB published a report on grocery markets, which highlights the current state and development prospects.
Sowing campaigns are currently taking place in Ukraine. As of the beginning of June 2019, Ukrainian agrarians sowed with early spring grain and leguminous crops 95%. According to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy of Ukraine, it has already been sown: barley – 1490000 hectares (95.9%), wheat – 157.9 thousand hectares (95.8%), oats – 188.8 thousand hectares (96 7%) and peas – 286.1 thousand hectares (86.8%).
If we talk about winter crops, then they planted a total of 7,600,000 hectares. It should be noted that it will be possible to more accurately predict the yield of all grains and leguminous crops from the end of June or in the beginning of July of the current year, since the risk of losing a part of the crop exists throughout the growing season.
Now, according to the forecasts of the National Scientific Center “Institute of Agrarian Economics”, a decrease in the production of grain and leguminous crops by 2.3% is expected (up to 68,400,000 tons against the last year’s 70 million tons). Taking into account the calculations of experts, we can expect an increase in wheat yield by 8.7% (compared to last season) due to an increase in acreage.
On the contrary, the production of spring grain crops will decrease by 9.9% due to a decrease in the yield of maize.
Buckwheat yield is also expected to fall by 10.6% and rice by 5.6%, as compared with last season.
Oat production will remain almost at the level of 2018 (+ 1.5%).
As for the international market, the following points were considered:
- Sowing campaign in 2019: buckwheat yield is expected to decrease by 10.6%, and rice by 5.6%;
- Import supplies of flour to Ukraine halved, but pasta increased by 44.8%;
- Domestic rice cereal production increased by 100%;
- The United States continues to increase imports of flour;
- The main supplier of flour – Turkey, increased deliveries by 2.6%, and pasta by 5%;
- Chile – the main exporter of oatmeal increased shipments by 21.9%.
Источник: http://www.ukrainian-food.org/uk/post/informacijno-analiticnij-zvit-po-rinkam-bakalijnih-virobiv-za-traven-cerven